I promised a nomination prediction a couple of days before the Oscars announced their nominations, and here it is. I have found that most people don’t really know or care about nominations like “Best Sound Mixing” and “Best Production Design”, and because I don’t know much about that either, I have limited my predictions to the bigger awards. I hope nobody minds this. If you do, there are a lot of other predictions you could read.
Best Picture (First set of five)
- La La Land
- Manchester by the Sea
- Moonlight
- Arrival
- Hacksaw Ridge
Best Picture (Second set of five; in the case that the Academy chooses—like in previous years—to nominate more than five)
- Fences
- Hell or High Water
- Nocturnal Animals
- Silence
- 20th Century Women
- Hidden Figures
Best Director
- Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
- Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
- Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”)
- Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”)
- Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”)
Best Actor
- Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
- Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
- Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
- Denzel Washington (“Fences”)
- Colin Farrel (“The Lobster)
Best Actress
- Amy Adams (“Arrival”)
- Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”)
- Natalie Portman (“Jackie”)
- Emma Stone (“La La Land”)
- Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”)
Best Supporting Actor
- Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
- Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”)
- Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
- Michael Shannon (“Nocturnal Animals”)
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson (“Nocturnal Animals”)
Best Supporting Actress
- Viola Davis (“Fences”)
- Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”)
- Nicole Kidman (“Lion”)
- Felicity Jones (“A Monster Calls”)
- Michelle Williams (“Manchester By the Sea”)
Best Original Screenplay
- “20th Century Women” (Mike Mills)
- “The Lobster” (Efthymis Filippou and Yorgos Lanthimos)
- “La La Land” (Damien Chazelle)
- “Manchester by the Sea” (Kenneth Lonergan)
- “Jackie” (Noah Oppenheim)
Best Adapted Screenplay
- “Arrival” (Eric Heisserer)
- “Fences” (August Wilson)
- “Loving” (Jeff Nichols)
- “Nocturnal Animals” (Tom Ford)
- “Moonlight” (Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney)
Best Animated Feature
- “Finding Dory” (Pixar/Disney)
- “Kubo and the Two Strings” (Focus Features)
- “Moana” (Disney)
- “My Life as a Zucchini” (Gkids)
- “Zootopia” (Disney)
Best Original Song
- “Can’t Stop the Feeling!” (Justin Timberlake, “Trolls”)
- “City of Stars” (Ryan Gosling, “La La Land”)
- “How Far I’ll Go” (Auli’i Cravalho, “Moana”)
- “Faith” (Stevie Wonder, “Sing”)
- “Never Give Up” (Sia, “Lion”)
Best Foreign Language Film
- The Handmaiden (South Korea)
- “It’s Only the End of the World” (Canada)
- “A Man Called Ove” (Sweden)
- “The Salesman” (Iran)
- “Toni Erdmann” (Germany)